Hedge Layer Agent · Public beta

Market research.
Follow the evidence.

Your market research agent on WhatsApp and desktop, powered by Hedge Layer tools. Explore markets and weigh the evidence with live prices, cited sources and probability estimates you can check.

  1. 01

    Sign in

    Use your email. No password.

  2. 02

    Link your number

    Send a one-time code from WhatsApp.

  3. 03

    Ask

    Type a question or send a voice note.

Hedge Layer Agent

Business account

  1. You:

    Which markets price a Fed cut next meeting?

    09:41

  2. Agent:

    Three markets:

    1. Next meeting · 31¢

    2. Two or more cuts this year · 44¢

    3. Before CPI · 12¢

    Pick one to research.

    09:41

  3. You:

    1

    09:42

  4. Agent:

    Fed cut: next meeting

    Market 31% · Estimate 36–48%

    Base rate 30%, cited prior

    Supporting evidence: LR 2.0

    Against: sticky core inflation (LR 0.85)

    Sources: Polymarket book + 3 reports.

    09:43

Illustrative conversation.

From question
to hypothesis.

  1. 01

    Shortlist

    Scans live markets. You pick.

  2. 02

    Evidence

    Base rate, news, the case against.

  3. 03

    Estimate

    A cited probability range vs. the price.

Example market

Market price 31¢

Will the central bank cut rates at its next meeting?

  1. Base rate · Cited prior30%
  2. Current evidence · LR 2.046%
  3. Strongest case against · LR 0.8542%
Estimated fair probability36–48%
market
Illustrative example. Every step cites its source.

Primary sources. Exact numbers. Read-only.

  • Polymarket
  • Hyperliquid
  • SEC EDGAR
  • World Bank
  • ECB FX
  • Perplexity

Hedge Layer Agent · Desktop beta

A workspace for your research.

Explore charts, revisit saved conversations, and schedule your next market scan. The same agent and account you use on WhatsApp, with more room to see the detail.

Hedge Layer Agent preview with the compass logo, replaying historical research charting seven daily Bitcoin perpetual closing prices from Hyperliquid, September 29–October 5, 2026, with a written summary.
Hedge Layer Agent preview · historical Bitcoin research, 29 Sep–5 Oct 2026.View full-size screenshot (opens in a new tab)
Operating system

Choose your OS to download.

One beta for Windows, Linux and macOS, still being tested. Release signing and developer enrollment are not yet complete.

Installation and testing guide · SHA-256 checksums

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