Hedge Layer/Docs

Getting Started

Go from zero to your first market intelligence brief or liquidity allocation plan.

What is Hedge Layer?

Prediction markets price real-world uncertainty in real time — but the signal is buried in noise. Thousands of markets, thin liquidity, no causal context, no synthesis. If you want to speculate with a clear thesis, you need better information flow.

Hedge Layer improves that information flow by connecting your questions to Polymarket's real-time prediction markets via AI. It also screens markets for liquidity provision opportunities. The platform:

  1. Understands your topic via an AI-powered conversational agent with real-time web research
  2. Discovers relevant markets on Polymarket using causal-chain search and relevance scoring
  3. Synthesizes a Market Brief — a structured intelligence report with market probabilities, causal links, and coverage gaps
  4. Plans liquidity allocations — allocator recommendations return target capital, safety checks, and quote regimes without placing trades

Step 1: Sign In

Head to hedgelayer.ai and click Sign in in the top right corner. Hedge Layer uses MetaMask wallet sign-in — connect your browser wallet and sign the login message.

Step 2: Describe What You Care About

The homepage is the main chat interface. Tell the AI about the topic, risk, or thesis you want to explore — just type freely. The AI will research current events, search for relevant prediction markets, and score them for interestingness.

For example: "What are prediction markets saying about hurricane season in the Southeast US?"

Step 3: Review Your Brief

The AI will search for relevant markets, analyze them, and produce a Market Brief — a structured summary of what prediction markets tell us about your topic, with links to act on Polymarket directly.

Optional: Explore LP Opportunities

Ask for LP opportunities, reward-yield markets, or liquidity-provider candidates. Feed result cards show estimated LP return, approximate capacity, and risk flags. Use the CLI flow hl feed then hl lp allocator --markets <file> to get target allocations and quote regimes. Hedge Layer does not place live trades.

Conversation History

All your conversations are saved and accessible from the history sidebar. Click the clock icon in the header to view your history.

What you can do

  • Resume a conversation — click any session to continue where you left off
  • Start new— click "New Chat" to begin a fresh conversation
  • Delete — remove sessions you no longer need